The Allianz lights up for a fixture that has bitten Juventus before: Lazio have not lost in their last two visits to this ground in Serie A, and Juve head into this derby della Madonnina of the north carrying six injured players, including Yildiz and Locatelli. Juve's own form is patchwork, with a friendly loss to Cremonese sandwiched between decent European results. Lazio, meanwhile, have scored in all five of their last five matches and conceded in only 3 of those 5, showing teeth and some defensive fragility. In the h2h over the last five meetings, Juventus have won just once, drawn twice and lost twice, conceding 6 goals in total. The model gives Lazio a 39 percent chance of winning - well above what the 5.25 price implies. At that odds, the value is clear and the injury list at Juve tips the scales further. Back Lazio to win at 5.25.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.26 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 26.10.25 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 10.05.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 19.10.24 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 23.04.24 | Coppa Italia | 2–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service