The Allianz Stadium hosts a fixture with real edge: Juventus, ravaged by six absentees including Yildiz and Locatelli, welcome an Atalanta side that has lost two of its last five and arrives without Hien at the back. Juve are short favourites at 1.70 but the injury list gives you pause. Juventus have won 3 of their last 5 across all competitions, keeping 3 clean sheets and conceding in only 2 of those games. The head-to-head tells a more complex story: in the last 4 meetings Juve have won just 1, drawn 1 and lost 2, shipping 8 goals in the process. Atalanta scored in all 5 of their recent outings. The model puts Juve at 45% to win and the home-or-draw chance at 74%. DNB HOME at 1.26 gives you that cushion if the Bianconeri grind a point from a tight one. That is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 11.04.26 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 05.02.26 | Coppa Italia | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 27.09.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 16.08.25 | Club Friendlies | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 09.03.25 | Serie A | 0–4 | O2.5 |
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