Japan arrive at this friendly having gone 2W-2D-1L across their last five, including a creditable 2-2 with the Netherlands at the World Cup. Three key absentees hurt them, though: Itakura, Endo and Kubo are all out. Uruguay, meanwhile, have not won any of their last five away fixtures, picking up four draws and one defeat, scoring in only 3 of those 5 games.
The one head-to-head on record ended 1-1 in 2023. Uruguay's away record shows just 1 clean sheet in 5 and only 1 game over 2.5 goals, pointing firmly to a low-scoring, tight affair. Japan scored in all 5 of their last 5 but conceded in 3, suggesting both sides can find the net without the game opening up.
With Uruguay winless away and Japan missing three starters, a draw is the logical landing point. Draw No Bet on Japan offers cover if the hosts edge it; the straight draw is the cleaner call at this level of uncertainty. Back the draw.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.03.23 | Friendlies | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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