Ipswich open their home account in Premier League Round 3 as heavy underdogs against Liverpool. The Tractor Boys have scored in all 5 of their last outings and conceded in 4, shipping 9 goals while netting 14. Liverpool arrive without a win in their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 losses) but have found the net in 4 of those 5 games, conceding 11 times in the process.
The numbers point firmly in one direction. Both sides have registered BTTS in 4 of their last 5 games respectively. Every one of Ipswich's last 5 matches produced over 2.5 goals, and 4 of Liverpool's last 5 did the same. Neither defence looks remotely reliable at this stage of the season.
BTTS YES at 1.57 (bet365/10Bet) is the play. The model puts the probability at 91%, making this a clear value edge. Back both teams to score with confidence.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.01.25 | Premier League | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 17.08.24 | Premier League | 0–2 | U2.5 |
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