Ipswich arrive at round 6 in poor shape: one win from five recent outings, 14 goals conceded across that run and a clean sheet count of zero. Three midfield absences - Matusiwa, Taylor and Emersonn - thin their options further. Fulham are not in sparkling form either, but they look considerably more solid, conceding seven in five and keeping one clean sheet.
Ipswich have conceded in all five of their last matches. Fulham have scored in three of their last five. The model puts the home side's win probability at 44 percent, yet the market prices Fulham at 2.45, implying roughly 41 percent - close enough to fair value to back.
Fulham at 2.45 (away win) is the call. The Cottagers carry fewer defensive wounds and face a side that has shipped 14 goals in five. Back Fulham on the 1X2.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.01.25 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 31.08.24 | Premier League | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 01.11.23 | League Cup | 1–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service