Internacional arrive at this Round 24 fixture without a win in three Serie A games, drawing twice at home and leaking goals despite two clean sheets across five outings. Atletico-MG, meanwhile, have not lost in their last five across all competitions, picking up three wins and keeping three clean sheets in that run. The visitors carry momentum and depth even with five players sidelined.
The head-to-head numbers back the visitors hard. From Internacional's perspective over the last five meetings, they have won just once, drawn once and lost three times, scoring only in 2 of those 5 games while conceding in 4. Atletico-MG have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 games and scored in all 5. Internacional's DNB is priced at 1.50, Atletico-MG's DNB sits at 2.60 - that gap is where the value lives.
Atletico-MG DNB at 2.60 is my play. They are unbeaten in five, dominant in this head-to-head, and Internacional have barely fired in Serie A lately. I accept the swing that comes with the bigger price.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 11.03.26 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 02.11.25 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 13.06.25 | Serie A | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.10.24 | Serie A | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 27.06.24 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service