Inter Miami arrive at home having gone five games unbeaten, grinding out draws and then putting seven past Montreal. San Diego, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five, including a 0-5 hammering at home to Philadelphia. The mood in each camp could not be more different.
Miami have scored in all 5 of their last five games, netting 14 goals while conceding 6. San Diego have scored in only 3 of their last 5 and carry a six-man injury list into this trip. Miami's model probability sits at 64% for the home win, with over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A home win at 1.44 is fine but tight. The real play is Miami -1 on the Asian Handicap at 1.65 (bet365). A side this goal-hungry, hosting a visitor this leaky and depleted, is built to win by a margin. Take the bigger price.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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