Inter Miami arrive at this one wobbling: one win in five MLS outings, five games without a clean sheet, and five goals conceded at home in their last two at DRV PNK. Nashville, meanwhile, have been quietly ruthless on the road, beating the Red Bulls 1-0 away and dismantling Cincinnati 4-0 at home before a narrow loss in Toronto.
The numbers back the visitors hard. Nashville have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches and conceded in only 2 of those 5. In the h2h, Miami have won just 1 of the last 5 meetings. The model gives Nashville a 51% win probability against an implied 30% from the 3.30 price - clear value on the away side.
Miami's injury list is long: Lujan, Micael, Reguilon, Morales and Allende all absent. Nashville travel with a tight defensive unit and a point to prove. Back Nashville to win at 3.30.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 16.08.26 | MLS | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 19.03.26 | Concacaf Champions Cup | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 12.03.26 | Concacaf Champions Cup | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 09.11.25 | MLS | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 02.11.25 | MLS | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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