Hull arrive at this Premier League round 6 fixture short of confidence and short of bodies. One win from five recent outings, with six players unavailable, paints a bleak picture for the hosts. Everton, by contrast, have not lost in five, picking up two wins and three draws while keeping three clean sheets along the way.
The numbers back caution here. Hull have scored in just 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 3, while Everton have conceded in only 2 of their last 5. The model puts the probability of under 2.5 goals at 88 percent and BTTS at just 20 percent. Everton's Draw No Bet price sits at 1.48 with bet365.
Everton DNB at 1.48 is the play. A draw returns your stake; an Everton win collects. Hull's injury list and poor form make this the cleanest route to the away side at a price that still offers a margin over the implied probability.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service