Hoffenheim arrive at round 2 having lost their Bundesliga opener at Cologne, with Alexander Prass and Fisnik Asllani sidelined. Dortmund, by contrast, won their league curtain-raiser 2-0 against Hamburger SV and are the stronger side on paper despite missing Bensebaini, Schlotterbeck and Konstantelias.
The head-to-head numbers support a goal-heavy game. Hoffenheim kept zero clean sheets in the last five meetings, and BTTS landed in 4 of those 5 contests. All 5 of Hoffenheim's recent matches went over 2.5 goals. Dortmund scored in all 5 of their last outings and conceded in only 3, showing defensive solidity when it counts.
Dortmund Draw No Bet at 1.62 (10Bet/bet365) gives cover if the hosts nick a point while still paying out on a Dortmund win. At odds that imply roughly 62% probability for a Dortmund non-loss, the price is fair for a side that opened the season with a clean sheet. Confidence sits at 3.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 18.04.26 | Bundesliga | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 07.12.25 | Bundesliga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 26.04.25 | Bundesliga | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 15.12.24 | Bundesliga | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 25.02.24 | Bundesliga | 2–3 | O2.5 |
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