HJK head into this UEFA Conference League third qualifying round tie on the back of four wins from five, having scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their European momentum is strong after dismantling Coleraine 5-0 and 3-0. Motherwell arrive with three wins from five competitive matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9, showing they can hurt anyone but also leak goals freely. Both sides have produced over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. HJK kept 3 clean sheets in 5, so the model leans slightly toward a home-controlled game, yet Motherwell's attacking output makes a low-scoring night unlikely. Over 2.5 at 1.80 is the play: the goal data from both camps backs it clearly, and the price sits at a workable level.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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