Hibernian arrive at Premiership round 3 in mixed form - two wins and three defeats across five recent outings - but Kilmarnock look considerably worse. The visitors have scored in only 2 of their last 5 games and conceded 12 goals in that span, losing three times. A side this blunt in attack and leaky in defence has little to offer on the road.
The head-to-head record is the clearest signal here. Hibernian are unbeaten in all 5 meetings with Kilmarnock in this data set, winning 3 and drawing 2, with a 10-4 aggregate. Kilmarnock have failed to score in 3 of those 5 encounters. The model puts Hibs at a 71% home-win probability, making the Draw No Bet price of 1.21 the most honest reflection of the balance of power.
DNB Hibernian at 1.21 is the play. You surrender the insurance premium but the h2h and Kilmarnock's attacking record justify it. Confidence is modest given Hibs' own defensive fragility.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.04.26 | Premiership | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 03.01.26 | Premiership | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 10.08.25 | Premiership | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 15.03.25 | Premiership | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 29.12.24 | Premiership | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service