Getafe open this La Liga round 5 home date with serious doubts. Three absentees, two league defeats in four outings, and a defence that has conceded in 4 of their last 5 games. The Coliseum crowd needs a reaction, but the visitors are in no mood to hand them one. Dep. A Coruna arrive on the back of back-to-back La Liga wins, including a stunning 3-2 at Villarreal, and have scored in 4 of 5 recent matches. Their attack has posted 8 goals in 5 games, while Adama Traore and Noe Carrillo are the only absentees. The model gives Coruna a 59% win probability against just 13% for the hosts - massive gap. At 3.40, the away win is the value bet. Getafe look short at 2.40 for a side with two wins in five and a leaky backline.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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