Gent arrive in strong domestic form: 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 league outings, conceding just 2 goals across all five matches. Laszlo Benes is out, but the squad depth has not been tested. Aarhus travel with two injury absences of their own and a defensive record that shows 4 goals conceded in 5 recent games, with clean sheets in only 1 of those.
The key numbers: Gent scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets. Aarhus conceded in 4 of their last 5. The market prices Gent at 1.57 to win, with Draw No Bet available at 1.24. Over 2.5 sits at 1.80, reflecting Aarhus's 4 over-2.5 results in 5 games.
The model points to Gent. Their defensive solidity - 3 clean sheets in 5 - combined with Aarhus conceding freely makes the home win the clearest edge. DNB HOME at 1.24 trims the risk neatly. Main tip: Gent DNB at 1.24.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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