A struggling Genoa side welcomes a Sudtirol outfit that has quietly built one of the tidiest defensive records in recent weeks. The Rossoblu have lost three of their last five, conceded in all five matches and kept zero clean sheets, while the visitors arrive unbeaten in five with three clean sheets to their name. The class gap is real, but it is the defensive profile of this tie that catches the eye most.
In both head-to-head meetings Genoa kept Sudtirol off the scoresheet, and the visitors have conceded in only 2 of their last 5 games. Sudtirol scored in all 5 of their last 5, yet their goals-against tally sits at just 2 across that run. BTTS No is priced at 1.82 on Marathon, which looks fair for a matchup where one side rarely lets the other score.
The narrative pulls toward a Genoa win, but the smarter angle is that Sudtirol's tight shape will keep this a one-sided scoring affair. Take BTTS No at 1.82 and accept the cup-tie volatility that comes with it.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.05.23 | Serie B | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 08.12.22 | Serie B | 2–0 | U2.5 |
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