The Marassi crowd will be nervous before kick-off. Genoa have lost all three Serie A games this season, conceding nine times and keeping zero clean sheets across their last five matches in all competitions. Frosinone, meanwhile, arrive with two Serie A wins from three, including a stunning 3-0 away victory at Fiorentina that showed real quality on the road.
The numbers back the visitors hard. Frosinone have scored in 4 of their last 5 games and their model probability of winning here sits at 95%. Genoa have scored in just 2 of their last 5. Head-to-head, Genoa have won only 1 of 4 meetings with Frosinone, losing 2. The away price of 3.6 with bet365 is a gift for a side this sharp.
Frosinone Away at 3.6 is the play. Genoa are a wounded side with no momentum, and Frosinone have the goals and the confidence to punish them. Take the bigger price and back the form team.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 30.03.24 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 26.11.23 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 13.05.23 | Serie B | 3–2 | O2.5 |
| 18.12.22 | Serie B | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service