Genoa arrive at this Serie A Round 6 fixture having won just once in their last five across all competitions, shipping nine goals in that stretch. Fiorentina, meanwhile, have four wins and draws from five recent outings, scoring nine times themselves and carrying real momentum into Liguria.
The head-to-head numbers are telling: Genoa have not beaten Fiorentina in their last five meetings, losing two and drawing three. Genoa have scored in only 3 of those 5 h2h games, while Fiorentina have found the net in 4. Fiorentina's recent form shows 4 of their last 5 games going over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of 5 h2h clashes.
Fiorentina at 2.25 is the call. Genoa are leaking goals, winless in this fixture across five attempts, and Fiorentina carry the sharper edge. The model gives the visitors a 52% win probability. Back Fiorentina to take all three points.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 10.05.26 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 09.11.25 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 02.02.25 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 31.10.24 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 15.04.24 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service