Premier League Round 1 brings a west London derby to Craven Cottage, with both sides coming off pre-season friendlies only. Fulham went 2W-2D-1L across five warmup games, scoring in every one. Chelsea were busier in attack, netting 10 goals in five outings, but conceded in 4 of those 5 matches. Four absentees on the Chelsea sheet - Anselmino, Fofana, Gusto and Henderson - add a note of caution, though the squad depth at Stamford Bridge remains considerable.
The head-to-head record from Fulham's perspective tells a clear story: 3 losses in the last 5 Premier League meetings, 0 clean sheets in any of those five. Chelsea have won 3 of those 5 contests. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of 5 h2h fixtures, and BTTS triggered in 3 of 5 as well. Fulham's pre-season produced 4 BTTS in 5 games.
Chelsea are short at 1.85-1.89 for the win, which leaves little room. Draw No Bet on Chelsea at 1.41-1.42 (bet365/Marathon) is the cleaner play: you collect if Chelsea win, refund if it ends level. The h2h dominance and Fulham's zero clean sheets in this fixture back the price.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.01.26 | Premier League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 30.08.25 | Premier League | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 20.04.25 | Premier League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 26.12.24 | Premier League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 13.01.24 | Premier League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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