Matchday 3 in Serie A, and the Ciociaria faithful have reason to believe after that stunning 3-0 away win at Fiorentina last round. Venezia arrive in Lazio's shadow carrying five absentees - Mazzocchi, Moreno, Sverko, Franjic and Adorante - and zero clean sheets across their last five games, a squad that looks fragile before a ball is even kicked.
Frosinone have scored in 4 of their last 5 outings and all four head-to-head meetings have gone over 2.5 goals. Venezia have lost 3 of their last 5, conceding in all five. The model gives the home side a 90% win probability, and the 1X2 market has Frosinone at 2.70 - a price the books will not leave open for long.
Give me Frosinone to win at 2.70. A home side with momentum, a fit squad and a Venezia defence that has not kept a single clean sheet. That bigger price is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.02.26 | Serie B | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 04.10.25 | Serie B | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 05.03.23 | Serie B | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 14.10.22 | Serie B | 1–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service