Frosinone open their Stadio Benito Stirpe doors to a Como side that has lost none of their last five games - four wins and a draw. The home side showed spirit with a 3-2 win over Venezia and a 3-0 away day at Fiorentina, but they also shipped a goal to Genoa and fell to Juventus, and their defence has conceded in 4 of their last 5 outings.
Como's numbers are brutal: 13 goals scored in 5 games, 4 wins, zero defeats, and - the kicker - they have scored in all 5 of those matches while conceding in every single one. BTTS has landed in all 5 of Como's recent games. The h2h record favours Frosinone (2 wins, 4-0 aggregate in Serie B), but those meetings came in a different era for both clubs.
Como at 1.5 is short but honest. The visitors carry more quality, more momentum and a perfect scoring record. I want the bigger swing: Frosinone +1.5 AH at 2.22-2.25 gives us a cushion if the home side nicks a draw or wins. That is the price with real meat on the bone.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.02.23 | Serie B | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 03.09.22 | Serie B | 2–0 | U2.5 |
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