Freiburg arrive at this second leg holding a 3-1 lead from Motherwell's ground, already in a commanding position before a ball is kicked at home. Four wins from their last five across all competitions, with 13 goals scored, underline a side in sharp attacking form. Motherwell, meanwhile, travel with five first-team players on the injury list, a significant blow to a squad that managed just six goals in its last five outings.
The numbers favour a heavy home performance. Freiburg scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and went over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 5. Motherwell conceded in 3 of their last 5 and carry a 1-goal deficit on aggregate. The only head-to-head on record ended 3-1 to Freiburg, with both sides scoring - but the home side's firepower was decisive.
At 1.62 (bet365), the AH -1.5 for Freiburg is the play. A two-goal home win seals the tie and fits the form profile. Confidence is measured: Motherwell can score, but the injury toll and aggregate pressure point clearly in one direction.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 20.08.26 | UEFA Conference League | 1–3 | O2.5 |
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