Freiburg enter round three in the form of their lives. Five wins from five across all competitions, 17 goals scored and only one clean sheet conceded against them in that run. Gladbach, by contrast, have lost their two Bundesliga fixtures so far, shipping seven goals in the process, and travel to the Schwarzwald-Stadion with five players sidelined.
The head-to-head record underlines the gap. From Freiburg's perspective over the last five meetings, the hosts have won four and drawn one, scoring 10 and conceding just 3. Four of those five ended with more than 2.5 goals. Gladbach's defence has conceded in 3 of their last 5 outings, and five players are unavailable.
Freiburg Draw No Bet at 1.44 is the play. The model puts home win probability at 96 percent, and the h2h record offers no precedent for a Gladbach victory here. Take the insurance, back the hosts.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.02.26 | Bundesliga | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 05.10.25 | Bundesliga | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 12.04.25 | Bundesliga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 30.11.24 | Bundesliga | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 30.03.24 | Bundesliga | 0–3 | O2.5 |
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