Maracana buzz, a wounded squad rolling in - that is the picture here. Fluminense head into Round 29 with three wins from their last five and a squad missing Cano and others, yet still capable of hurting anyone at home. Coritiba arrive having lost to Vasco 0-5 in their last away Serie A fixture, and they have kept zero clean sheets across their last five games.
The numbers back the chaos. Coritiba have conceded in all 5 of their last five matches and shipped 13 goals in that spell. Their over 2.5 count stands at 5 from 5. The h2h shows Coritiba have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings, so Flu's backline is no fortress either - BTTS has landed in 4 of those 5 clashes. Model gives the away win 20 %, yet the market prices it at 7.00.
That gap is the play. Coritiba have shown enough fight to nick a goal - 4 scored in 5 recent games - and at 1.95 BTTS YES is the safer route. But for the bold price, AWAY at 7.00 is the swing worth taking on a side that beat Corinthians recently and loves a high-scoring night.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.04.26 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 26.11.23 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.07.23 | Serie A | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 21.08.22 | Serie A | 5–2 | O2.5 |
| 01.05.22 | Serie A | 3–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service