Flamengo just dismantled Botafogo 3-0 at home and arrive at Round 4 as the Maracana's most feared side. Mirassol have not won in five matches, carrying zero clean sheets and a goals-against tally of 11 in that stretch. The last time these two met at this ground Flamengo won 5-1, and the head-to-head across both meetings shows 8 goals for the home side against 4 conceded. Flamengo scored in all 5 of their last matches and have 4 over-2.5 games in five. Mirassol conceded in all 5 of theirs, with three injuries in their squad adding further pressure. The model puts Flamengo's win probability at 80 per cent. At 1.72, AH -1.5 for Flamengo gives genuine value on a side built to dominate at home. Four of the last five Flamengo games went over 2.5, and a two-goal cushion looks very achievable tonight.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 16.08.26 | Serie A | 1–5 | O2.5 |
| 06.12.25 | Serie A | 3–3 | O2.5 |
| 09.08.25 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service