Fiorentina walk into this round carrying two heavy Serie A defeats, 0-3 at home to Frosinone and 0-4 away to Roma, with zero clean sheets across their last five outings. Torino arrive in no better shape, dropping three of their last five and missing Biraghi, Israel and Casadei through injury. Both squads look brittle, and neither arrives with momentum.
The head-to-head record is the loudest voice in the room. In the last five Serie A meetings, Fiorentina have won once, drawn four times and never lost, with only one game going over 2.5 goals and BTTS landing in just two of those five clashes. That pattern points firmly to a tight, low-scoring afternoon at the Artemio Franchi.
The draw at 3.3 fits the data and rewards patience. Torino at 4.0-4.5 is too rich for a side with three losses in five, and Fiorentina at 1.85-1.91 ignores their alarming recent form. Lock in the stalemate.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.02.26 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 31.08.25 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.01.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 03.11.24 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 02.03.24 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
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