Artemio Franchi, Sunday lunchtime, and a Fiorentina side that has lost three of their last five across all competitions welcomes a Napoli squad ravaged by six absentees. Don't let the injury list fool you - the head-to-head record tells a ruthless story. Fiorentina have won zero of the last five meetings, conceding 12 goals against 5 scored, with all five matches going over 2.5 goals. The model puts Napoli's win probability at 74%, and the market at 2.25 still feels generous for a side that keeps winning this fixture. Fiorentina scored in only 3 of their last 5, conceded in 4, and have shipped 11 goals in that span. With BTTS landing in 4 of 5 h2h games and both squads leaking at the back, Both Teams to Score at 1.73 is the riskier but juicy angle. Main play: Napoli to win at 2.25.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 31.01.26 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 13.09.25 | Serie A | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 09.03.25 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 04.01.25 | Serie A | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 17.05.24 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service