Fenerbahce walk into their Champions League opener already stung, losing to Besiktas last weekend and missing defenders Oosterwolde and Soyuncu. Roma arrive in a completely different mood: three straight Serie A wins, 10 goals scored in those three games, and a settled squad with genuine European ambition. The Canaries host the Eternal City on the biggest stage, but the gap in momentum is hard to ignore.
The numbers back Roma hard. They have scored 12 goals in five recent outings and gone over 2.5 in all five. Fenerbahce have conceded in 4 of their last 5. Roma's DNB price of 1.58-1.60 reflects a team in form, but the straight AWAY at 2.15-2.18 is the value here. Rensch, Bah and Pellegrini are absent for Roma, yet their attacking output has not slowed.
Roma are the call at 2.15. A side that just put four past Lecce and four past Fiorentina does not slow down in Week 1 of the Champions League - they announce themselves. Take the away win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service