Porto arrive at this Champions League round-three fixture on the back of four wins from five, scoring in every game across that run. PSV, by contrast, have lost three of their last five and travel to Porto missing six players through injury, including Ricardo Pepi and Alassane Plea.
Porto have scored in all 5 of their last five matches and conceded in all 5, while PSV have scored in only 4 of their last 5 and conceded in 4. The market prices Porto at 1.62 for the win, which looks reasonable given the visitors' injury list and a sequence of three defeats in five.
Draw No Bet on Porto at 1.26-1.28 is the cleaner play. It protects against a tight European draw while still backing the home side's clear form edge. Confidence is measured given Porto's own defensive frailties.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service