TQL Stadium braces for a clash between a Cincinnati side riding three wins from five and a New York City squad that has lost three of its last five, including back-to-back defeats to Necaxa and Cruz Azul. Six NYCFC players are ruled out, stripping Ronny Deila's men of depth at a critical moment in the MLS calendar.
The numbers scream goals. Cincinnati scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of those same 5. NYC scored in all 5 of their last 5 too, conceding in 4 of 5 as well. BTTS landed in 4 of 5 for both sides, and Over 2.5 came in 3 of 5 for each. The one head-to-head on record this season ended 4-4, a carnival of attacking chaos.
With a model probability of 85% for Over 2.5 and the price sitting at 1.44, this is the play. The alt is BTTS YES at 1.44 - both squads have goals in them and Cincinnati's defence has been porous. Take Over 2.5 at 1.44 and enjoy the ride.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.04.26 | MLS | 4–4 | O2.5 |
| 24.08.25 | MLS | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.05.25 | MLS | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 02.11.24 | MLS | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 28.10.24 | MLS | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service