Farnborough arrive at this FA Cup quarter-final replay in wretched league form, losing three of their last five across all competitions and scoring in only 2 of those 5 outings. Uxbridge, by contrast, have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last five, keeping 3 clean sheets and conceding in only 2 of 5 matches. The gap in defensive solidity is the clearest edge available here.
The only meeting between these sides ended 2-2 three days ago, with both teams scoring. Yet Uxbridge's aggregate numbers tell a better story: 10 goals scored versus 3 conceded in five games, compared to Farnborough's 4 scored and 9 conceded. Farnborough have shipped goals in 4 of their last 5, a damaging run heading into a one-off tie.
Uxbridge DNB is the call. If the match goes to extra time or penalties, the price still offers shelter. No odds are available at time of writing, but back Uxbridge draw no bet at any price around evens or better.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.09.26 | FA Cup | 2–2 | O2.5 |
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