Everton arrive into this Premier League round-5 fixture unbeaten across their last five outings, picking up two wins and three draws. They have kept three clean sheets in that stretch and conceded in only 2 of 5 games. Ipswich, by contrast, have shipped 14 goals in five recent matches and kept zero clean sheets, conceding in all five. Two injuries apiece thin both squads, but the defensive gap is stark. In two Premier League meetings, Everton are unbeaten: one win, one draw, with Ipswich failing to score in one of those contests. The model puts Everton's win probability at 68 percent, with the home-or-draw figure reaching 87 percent. Everton Draw No Bet at 1.32 (bet365) covers the modest draw risk and still returns decent value. Back Everton DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 03.05.25 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 19.10.24 | Premier League | 0–2 | U2.5 |
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