The Pincha are back at home in La Plata, carrying 11 goals scored across their last five outings and a 4-0 demolition of Gimnasia still fresh in the memory. Newells arrive with just one clean sheet in five, conceding in 4 of those games, and a squad missing Nicolas Goitea. In the only two head-to-head meetings on record, Estudiantes have not lost once, winning one and drawing one, conceding just a single goal across both fixtures. The numbers back the hosts: 3 wins from 5 recent games, goals flowing at both ends, and an away side that has shipped 6 in five. At 1.73 the home win is not generous, but Newells' defensive fragility on the road makes Estudiantes the play. Back the home side.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.02.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 01.10.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 15.03.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 03.08.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 19.02.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–0 | U2.5 |
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