Cornella is a fortress Elche has never cracked. Espanyol enter Round 7 battered from a loss at Rayo but still the more composed side, having scored in all 5 of their last league games. Elche arrive winless in 4 straight, leaking 15 goals in their last 5 outings.
The head-to-head record is the clincher: Espanyol are unbeaten in all 5 meetings (W3 D2 L0), keeping 3 clean sheets and conceding in only 2 of those games. Elche have no away clean sheet in their last 5 and the model puts the home win probability at 82%. The market offers 1.86, a genuine edge over the implied chance.
Espanyol DNB at 1.36 is the safe route, but the straight home win at 1.86 is where the value lives. Elche are shipping goals freely and have never beaten this opponent in recent memory. Take Espanyol to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.03.26 | La Liga | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 25.10.25 | La Liga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.04.24 | Segunda División | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 18.11.23 | Segunda División | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.02.23 | La Liga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
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