Elversberg arrive at round 6 having won just once in their last five competitive outings, conceding in 4 of those 5 games. They host an Augsburg side that has found the net in all five of its recent matches and carries three absentees into the fixture. The home side's own attack is inconsistent, scoring in only 3 of 5, yet their defensive record offers little comfort either.
Augsburg scored 12 goals in 5 recent games and kept zero clean sheets. Both teams scored in 3 of Elversberg's last 5 and in all 5 of Augsburg's. The model puts the BTTS probability at 66 percent, and the market prices it at 1.40, which is short but reflects genuine underlying frequency here.
BTTS YES at 1.40 is the play. Augsburg's attack is live in every game they touch, and Elversberg's defence has conceded in 4 of 5. With no head-to-head history to complicate the picture, the goal data alone makes this the clearest angle on the card.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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