Elfsborg have not won in five matches, picking up four draws and one defeat while scoring only five goals across that run. Sirius, meanwhile, arrive unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and 13 goals scored - a side that has found the net in every game in that sample. Elfsborg also carry two absentees in Richtner and Frick, which further blunts their attacking options at home.
The head-to-head record, from Elfsborg's perspective, reads two wins, zero draws and three defeats across the last five meetings, with Sirius averaging well over two goals per game in those contests. Over 2.5 goals landed in four of those five h2h fixtures. The model places away win probability at 50 %, with Elfsborg's home DNB priced at a steep 2.40 - the market is clearly aligned with the visitors.
Sirius Draw No Bet at 1.53 is the call. You collect unless the game ends level; given Elfsborg's stagnant form and Sirius's recent scoring output, that is a risk worth carrying.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.03.26 | Svenska Cupen | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 26.10.25 | Allsvenskan | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 23.04.25 | Allsvenskan | 4–3 | O2.5 |
| 06.10.24 | Allsvenskan | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 29.04.24 | Allsvenskan | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service