Elfsborg arrive into round 23 as heavy favourites, having won three of their last five competitive outings. The one recent blemish was a friendly loss to Hacken, which carries no league weight. Halmstad travel without Malte Persson and have kept just one clean sheet in their last five matches.
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings reads W3 D1 L1 for Elfsborg, with the hosts conceding in only 3 of those 5 games. Model probability puts an Elfsborg win at 73 per cent, comfortably above the implied probability in the 1.12 DNB price. Halmstad have scored in 4 of 5 recent games, so a straight home win at 1.33 carries some exposure to a stray goal.
Draw No Bet on Elfsborg at 1.12 is the measured call. You accept a thin margin, but the 73 per cent home-win probability against a side missing personnel and with a single clean sheet in five games justifies the stake.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 16.05.26 | Allsvenskan | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 24.08.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 25.05.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 15.09.24 | Allsvenskan | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 24.05.24 | Allsvenskan | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service