Egnatia arrive at this Europa League play-off first leg having dismantled Shamrock Rovers 5-1 in their last home European outing. Their recent five-game run shows 16 goals scored and a relentless attacking output. Lillestrom, by contrast, have won just once in five, conceding ten goals across that stretch, and they travel with three players absent through injury.
The numbers sharpen the picture. Egnatia have scored in all five recent matches and gone over 2.5 goals in four of them. Lillestrom have conceded in all five of their last games and kept no clean sheets. The Norwegians have scored in only three of five, pointing to a one-sided contest. Egnatia's Draw No Bet price sits at 2.60 (bet365).
The case for Egnatia DNB is solid. They are the more dangerous side at home, face a depleted opponent with no clean sheet in five, and the price offers genuine value. Back Egnatia DNB at 2.60.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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