Two sides with identical 2W-0D-3L records arrive at Dens Park for Premiership round 5. Dundee have won both home Premiership matches so far, beating Aberdeen and Dundee Utd, though they fell to Hibernian last weekend. St Johnstone have lost their two away Premiership outings and carry no clean sheet on the road in five games.
The model puts Dundee at a 56% win probability against 22% for the visitors, a gap the market barely reflects at near-even money. Dundee have kept 2 clean sheets in 5 recent games; St Johnstone have conceded in 4 of their last 5. Ashley Hay is out for the hosts but no absences are listed for the away side.
Draw No Bet on Dundee at 1.92 (bet365) is the play. The model implies a DNB value price closer to 1.79, so there is edge here. Alt: BTTS No at 2.05, with both defences capable of silence on this evidence.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 18.05.25 | Premiership | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 01.03.25 | Premiership | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 05.01.25 | Premiership | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 26.10.24 | Premiership | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 30.03.24 | Premiership | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service