Derry City arrive at this second leg having lost the first leg 2-3 in Sofia and carrying a run of three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. Darragh Markey remains sidelined. CSKA, by contrast, have won four of their last five and scored in four of those five outings.
The aggregate head-to-head record from the only meeting gives Derry zero wins and a negative goal difference of minus one. CSKA's last five games produced over 2.5 goals in all five - Derry's last five produced over 2.5 in three of five. Both sides scored in that first leg, and BTTS has landed in four of Derry's last five and three of CSKA's last five.
The market prices CSKA at 1.75 and that looks fair value given the form gap and first-leg advantage. AWAY at 1.75 is the call.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 09.07.26 | UEFA Europa League | 3–2 | O2.5 |
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