Round 9 in La Liga and Galicia is bracing for a fight: A Coruna host a Levante side that has shipped 18 goals in their last five outings, conceding in every single one. The home faithful have been frustrated - zero wins in five - but their opponents are in freefall, picking up just one draw from five and arriving with a squad missing Hugo Sotelo and Karl Etta Eyong.
The numbers back the home side hard. A Coruna have scored in 4 of their last 5 games and the model puts their win probability at 62%, yet the price sits at 2.10. Levante have scored in only 2 of 5 recent games; their defensive record is a disaster, conceding in all 5. Both teams have no clean sheets across their last five matches combined.
That 62% model edge against a 2.10 price is value. A Coruna are wounded but Levante are broken. Back the home win at 2.10 and accept the ride.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.01.25 | Segunda División | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 24.10.24 | Segunda División | 2–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service