The Halcones host San Lorenzo at the Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, carrying genuine momentum into Round 11 of the Clausura. Defensa have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across their last five Liga Profesional outings, while San Lorenzo arrive with just 1 win in five, scoring only twice in that run.
The head-to-head record tips this firmly in Defensa's favour: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last five meetings, with 8 goals scored against 3 conceded. San Lorenzo have scored in only 2 of their last 5 games and kept a clean sheet in 2 of those, pointing to a side low on attacking confidence on the road. Defensa kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 and conceded in just 3.
The market prices Defensa at 2.10, which represents genuine value for a side with clear head-to-head dominance and better recent form. San Lorenzo away at 4.00 is a price that reflects their struggles. Commit to the home win at 2.10.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 16.03.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–5 | O2.5 |
| 22.09.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 08.04.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 24.11.23 | Copa Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 12.11.23 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service