Florencio Varela hosts a Defensa y Justicia side that has shipped 11 goals in their last five outings and has not kept a single clean sheet in that run. Newells arrive with two injuries to manage but with a far more composed recent record, collecting three draws and a win from their last five.
Defensa have won just 1 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5. Newells conceded in only 4 of 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. In the h2h, Defensa have won 2 and lost 2 across the last 4 meetings, with only 1 BTTS game in those four - suggesting tight, low-scoring contests. Newells DNB is priced at 2.38, giving real value on a side that has not been blown away in recent weeks.
Defensa look brittle at the back and Newells, even without Gomez and Herrera, have the defensive shape to nick this. Back Newells DNB at 2.38.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 17.08.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 23.05.25 | Copa Argentina | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 12.02.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 25.05.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service