Dag and Red host Waltham Abbey in an FA Cup quarter-final replay after the sides drew 1-1 three days ago. The Daggers have been inconsistent in recent weeks, picking up just one win in their last five across all competitions, with two defeats to National League opposition. Waltham Abbey arrive in better shape on paper, winning three of their last five, but that run includes a 7-0 cup demolition of lower-ranked Brantham and a friendly hammering by Leyton Orient, so context matters.
The numbers point firmly toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Dag and Red produced zero games over 2.5 goals in their last five outings. The sole meeting between these sides - the first leg - finished 1-1 with both teams scoring, but the aggregate goal count stayed under three. Waltham Abbey kept three clean sheets in five recent games.
With the home side priced at 1.14 and both teams showing a preference for low-scoring football, the value lies in Under 2.5 goals at 2.66 with Marathon. The 1X2 home price is too short to back on current form.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.09.26 | FA Cup | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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