Czech Republic arrive in wretched form: 1 win in 5, zero clean sheets, and a 1-2 home loss to Croatia just three days ago. Six defenders are absent through injury, leaving the backline badly exposed. England lost to Spain on matchday 1 but their last 5 games produced 14 goals scored and BTTS in all 5, showing genuine attacking firepower. The one head-to-head on record ended 0-1 to England at a neutral site. The model inputs are blunt: Czech Republic conceded in all 5 recent matches, England scored in all 5. Czech Republic's DNB price sits at 5.5, England's at 1.15. The gap is deserved. With six Czech defenders out and England's attack clicking, an away win is the path of least resistance. DNB removes the slim draw risk and still returns 1.15.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.06.21 | European Championship | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 11.10.19 | UEFA European Championship Qualifiers | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 22.03.19 | UEFA European Championship Qualifiers | 5–0 | O2.5 |
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