Crystal Palace arrive at this fixture with three losses in their last five outings and no clean sheet across that run. Their sole Premier League result this season is a 0-2 defeat at Everton, and Dean Henderson is sidelined. Manchester City, despite a 0-3 Community Shield loss to Arsenal, bounced back with a 2-1 home win over Bournemouth in their league opener and carry a 3-2 win-loss record in recent games.
The head-to-head record is stark. Palace have lost three and drawn one of the last five meetings, conceding 13 goals in the process. City have won both Premier League encounters in this fixture across the past season by a 3-0 scoreline. City's four injuries in wide areas are noted, yet the price still reflects a clear hierarchy.
Manchester City at 1.62 is short, but the DNB removes the slim draw risk at a workable 1.25. Palace have scored in just 2 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5. The away side is the value call here.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 13.05.26 | Premier League | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 14.12.25 | Premier League | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 17.05.25 | FA Cup | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 12.04.25 | Premier League | 5–2 | O2.5 |
| 07.12.24 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
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