Cruz Azul arrive at round 3 with the wind at their back, three Liga MX wins in a row and 13 goals scored across their last five outings. Atlante, meanwhile, are winless in five, leaking goals in every single game and yet to keep a clean sheet.
The numbers are relentless. Cruz Azul have gone over 2.5 in all five of their last matches, scoring in every one and conceding in every one too. Atlante have also conceded in all five of theirs. Both teams have produced BTTS in 5 of 5 recent games. The model puts over 2.5 at 71% probability, and the price of 1.50-1.53 still offers something workable.
This is a wide-open game. Cruz Azul are the clear favourites at 1.32-1.33, but the real play here is the goals market. Over 2.5 at 1.50 is the call, backed by form on both sides and a model that agrees. Alt: BTTS YES at 1.77-1.80 for those who want the same story with a little more cushion.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 29.01.12 | Liga MX | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 06.08.11 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service