Coventry arrive at this Premier League Round 4 fixture with three losses from their three top-flight outings, failing to score in all of them. Brighton, by contrast, have won two of their last five across all competitions, kept three clean sheets and scored 12 goals in that span. Six players are absent for Brighton, but the depth is clearly there. Coventry have scored in just 2 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of them, a combination that points firmly away from the home side.
The numbers back Brighton at every turn. Their Draw No Bet price sits at 1.40 (bet365), reflecting the model's 93% away-win probability. Coventry have conceded 7 goals in 5 recent matches. Brighton's away record shows 12 goals scored in 5 outings.
The value is with Brighton DNB at 1.40. It removes the draw risk on a side that has been clinical in front of goal. Confidence is moderate given Brighton's lengthy injury list.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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