Couto Pereira has been a cold house for Coritiba lately. One win in five, four goals conceded across those matches, and a squad already missing Melo Bruno, Jacy, Josue and Brian Ocampo tells a story of a side barely holding together. Corinthians, meanwhile, arrive off three wins in five across league, Copa and Libertadores, with six goals scored and only three conceded in that run.
The head-to-head numbers lean heavily on the visitors. Coritiba have lost three of the last five meetings, conceding ten goals while scoring six. Corinthians have kept three clean sheets in their last five games, and the model puts the away win probability at 33 percent against a price of 2.5 - a genuine edge. Six injured players in the Corinthians camp is a concern, but the depth has clearly held.
Give me Corinthians to win at 2.5. The home side is leaking, travelling light on confidence, and facing a team that has found a way to win ugly and clean across three competitions. That price deserves backing.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.03.26 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 07.12.23 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 13.08.23 | Serie A | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 08.11.22 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 21.07.22 | Serie A | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service