Corinthians host Athletico-PR in Round 21 of Serie A knowing one thing above all else: they have not conceded a single goal against this opponent in five straight meetings. The Timao are coming off a 3-0 home win over Remo, even if their broader form across five games shows two wins, two draws and a loss.
The h2h record is the headline: 5 wins, 7 goals scored, 0 conceded across five encounters, with BTTS landing zero times. The model backs a low-scoring night, putting under 2.5 goals at 72% probability, and the market price of 1.55 still holds value against that number. Corinthians have kept clean sheets in all five h2h clashes, and Athletico arrive without a goal in any of those games.
Go under 2.5 goals at 1.55. The h2h pattern and the model align on a tight, controlled match. For the bold play, take Corinthians DNB at 1.36 - the home side has won every head-to-head and carries real structural advantage here.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.02.26 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 11.09.25 | Copa do Brasil | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 11.09.25 | Copa do Brasil | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 28.08.25 | Copa do Brasil | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 28.08.25 | Copa do Brasil | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service