Coquimbo host Platense in the second leg of their Libertadores last-16 tie, level at 1-1 from the first leg. Coquimbo are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions (W2 D2 L1 overall, but scoring in all 5 games), while Platense arrive with four injured players and a shaky defensive record, having conceded in all 5 of their recent matches.
The model puts Coquimbo's home win probability at 74%, with BTTS at 91%. Both sides scored in the first leg, Coquimbo scored in all 5 recent games, Platense conceded in all 4 of their last 5 away or neutral fixtures. The Draw No Bet on Coquimbo is priced at 1.60, offering solid cover against a draw without losing the bet.
Main tip: Coquimbo DNB at 1.60. With home advantage, the 1-1 aggregate scoreline and four Platense absentees, the model's 74% home win probability makes this the clearest value on the card.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 13.08.26 | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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